Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 94.380536 104.342886 114.486764 125.563488 137.293671 149.322242 162.565202
2026-02-01 74.156142 88.476325 103.725581 121.065440 140.130723 160.355766 183.334812
2026-02-08 60.343659 77.561492 96.694259 119.263511 144.900639 172.879108 205.485023
2026-02-15 50.997830 70.367356 92.759098 120.048130 151.922776 187.533988 229.891729
2026-02-22 45.199842 66.513330 92.030320 124.003846 162.218368 205.723831 258.307293
2026-03-01 39.442199 61.958209 89.867149 125.779317 169.627960 220.408030 282.666360
2026-03-08 33.551707 56.507220 86.008090 124.995240 173.602186 230.819553 301.916628
2026-03-15 29.672707 53.253824 84.550471 126.872374 180.569345 244.633702 325.107717
2026-03-22 27.185611 51.622606 84.975591 130.961356 190.157034 261.557056 352.030167
2026-03-29 24.477948 49.347167 84.291086 133.423632 197.582930 275.799257 375.746310
2026-04-05 22.410782 47.784211 84.400127 136.792734 206.074481 291.318156 401.032081
2026-04-12 20.202213 45.742327 83.645374 138.860031 212.802185 304.616984 423.628240
2026-04-19 16.135860 40.230975 77.586017 133.493462 209.773265 305.759794 431.450926
2026-04-26 13.189398 36.181727 73.350627 130.382825 209.512837 310.263119 443.367875
2026-05-03 11.092614 33.333899 70.704470 129.332027 211.871115 318.025798 459.329090
2026-05-10 9.720606 31.654428 69.745297 130.610673 217.322111 329.747498 480.294826
2026-05-17 9.071705 31.339591 70.937458 135.029749 227.088108 347.106589 508.474779
2026-05-24 8.072072 30.127243 70.550824 137.037655 233.501368 360.112842 531.184619
2026-05-31 6.758942 27.974957 68.413885 136.281938 235.983293 367.927057 547.271638
2026-06-07 5.996059 26.956301 68.136071 138.303084 242.334486 380.840808 569.923958
2026-06-14 5.610686 26.804983 69.358273 142.640916 251.986983 398.174307 598.336944
2026-06-21 5.046222 26.083786 69.496622 145.250746 259.171409 412.245301 622.592708
2026-06-28 4.643862 25.721922 70.249638 148.810869 267.720121 428.161945 649.284690